Chapter 170
Chapter 170
Box 01 had already been opened and could no longer be selected.
As a result, Jiang Li’s change of choice was automatically adjusted from the selected “Box 02” to “Box 03.”
“Jiang Li, isn’t this a little too risky? What if Box 03 doesn’t have it? We’d regret it to death.”
Liang Chen looked at Jiang Li, visibly troubled.
Zhao Siyao was deeply uneasy as well.
Jiang Li gave them a firm look. “Don’t worry. It won’t be wrong.”
Above the metal compartment, the broadcast prompt sounded.
[Your final choice is Box 03.]
[Now opening Box 03 for you-]
The broadcast had barely finished speaking when the door to Box 03 clicked open in front of everyone.
When Liang Chen saw the black zippered package inside, her heart gave a jolt.
“It really is there! That’s incredible! Wasn’t this supposed to be a matter of luck?” Liang Chen exclaimed.
Jiang Li only smiled without saying a word.
In truth, this wasn’t entirely a question of luck.
At its core, this problem was a matter of logical reasoning, which was why Jiang Li’s Eye of Truth had to be blocked by the Ghost Face Organization.
In this three-choice problem, the method for breaking through was the same for everyone-
Players had to rely on logical deduction and make a wise “high-probability choice.”
Two empty boxes and one real box.
Each group had one chance to choose and one chance to switch.
But the Ghost Face Organization would always, after the “player made their first choice,” open an empty box among the remaining two and ask, “Do you want to switch from your first choice?”
From the player’s perspective, among the three boxes-“Empty Box 1, Empty Box 2, and the Real Box”-each box had a one-in-three chance of being selected.
1. If the first choice was Empty Box 1, the Ghost Face Organization would point out an empty box. After the player “switched choices,” the game was guaranteed to be won.
2. If the first choice was Empty Box 2, the Ghost Face Organization would point out an empty box. After the player “switched choices,” the game was guaranteed to be won.
3. If the first choice was the Real Box, the Ghost Face Organization would point out an empty box. After the player “switched choices,” the game would be lost.
Looking at these three scenarios, if the player took the action of “switching choices,” the winning odds were “two-thirds,” making it a high-probability event.
For the vast majority of players who did not have the Eye of Truth, as long as they could make the logical deduction above, they would definitely choose the option with the higher odds-the “high-probability event” of switching.
Perhaps in the real world, a high-probability event did not mean it would definitely happen.
But in the Aberration World, high-probability events “had to happen.” Otherwise, it would be a dead end.
If the game itself were set up so that a “low-probability event occurred,” then this problem would have no meaning whatsoever.
And the reason Jiang Li discovered that the truth and falsehood of the three Notes had changed was not simply because the Ghost Face Organization wanted to block Jiang Li’s innate ability.
More importantly, it was because the Ghost Face Organization was making internal adjustments within the cabinets to ensure that the high-probability event absolutely occurred.
The probability of a player choosing the Real Box on their first try was indeed one-third.
But with the added conditions that followed, a certain probability gap would emerge between “switching” and “not switching.”
This theory, which seemed to go against most people’s intuition, was something Jiang Li had encountered before in a similar form-
The famous Monty Hall Problem proposed in the United States.
The existence of the Monty Hall Problem had sparked enormous controversy at the time.
In the end, an American PhD used a computer model to run a Monte Carlo simulation and arrived at the precise conclusion:
Switching from the choice made the first time gave the player a higher chance of winning.
And when the number of trials was large enough, the probability of winning the game by “switching choices” would gradually stabilize at two-thirds.
It was precisely because Jiang Li understood the logic behind it, as well as the experimental data, that she was even more certain they should choose to “switch.”
But in the Ghost Face Organization’s version of the question, whether the first pick had been correct no longer held any real significance.
Because the internal state of the boxes was changing at all times.
The Ghost Face Organization had designed this question to give the vast majority of players a chance to survive by thinking it through.
Not to have them make a choice through luck or cheating.
The door of Box 03 opened.
Jiang Li and the other two quickly crouched beside Zhao Siyao’s seat and took the package from underneath it.
The zipper of the black package was pulled open.
Inside, three pure-white sets of Thermal Protective Suit appeared before them.
Jiang Li, Liang Chen, and Zhao Siyao each took one Thermal Protective Suit and quickly changed into it.
And in the last few seconds as they finished putting on the Thermal Protective Suit, the broadcast continued playing.
[Congratulations to the players in Cabins 01, 08, 13, and 29 for successfully obtaining the Thermal Protective Suit!]
[The constant temperature inside the iron cabins will rise to the second level within two minutes!]
Outside the iron cabin, the roar of the flamethrowers intensified.
Inside the iron cabin, the room temperature that had been held constant began to climb sharply, gradually rising to the second level.
If the first-level temperature made people sweat all over, lose water from their bodies, and feel parched in their mouths and throats,
then the current second-level room temperature made everyone inside feel as though they had been thrown into an oven.
They were like fresh food being roasted under high heat.
Jiang Li could faintly hear the wails of players from other cabins outside the iron walls.
There were even the sounds of people kicking the metal plates-bang! bang!
By now, Jiang Li basically understood the meaning behind the Ferris Wheel Rules’ ban on carrying flammable or explosive personal items.
In a high-temperature environment, the Ghost Face Organization did not want players to trigger an explosion and die.
What the Ghost Face Organization wanted to see was the painful process of players being unable to live or die, tormented by the high heat.
Jiang Li lifted her head and glanced at the surveillance camera.
The thing on the other side… was truly cruel.
Whether toward hostages, or even toward human beings, it showed not the slightest mercy.
At present, Jiang Li’s Health Points and the other two’s had stabilized at around 85.
Although the numbers were still continuing to fall, under the effect of the Thermal Protective Suit, the rate of decline had slowed considerably.
Jiang Li rolled up her sleeve and glanced at her watch. “Eleven minutes left.”
“If we hold on for another eleven minutes, we’ll clear this smoothly.”
Liang Chen echoed her, “That’s great. I hope everything goes smoothly!”
For the next few minutes, the iron cabin remained at the second-level high-temperature state, roasting everyone inside.
Screams rang out one after another. From the surrounding iron cabins, the agonized groans of passengers kept sounding.
Perhaps for the tourists who were not participating in the game, most of these screams could not be heard.
Those cries would only turn into an indistinct, drifting sound, floating into the ears of a few individual tourists, becoming something like an illusion.
Just as Jiang Li and the other two thought the high-temperature crisis had temporarily passed,
inside the sealed iron cabin, an even more severe problem… appeared.